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March Madness Odds 2026: Arizona Narrowly in Front Of Duke, Michigan

We are down to the Elite Eight in the 2026 March Madness bracket, and Arizona is leading fellow No. 1 seeds Duke and Michigan in the newest Championship game chances.

March Madness has actually measured up to the name so far, with No. 9 Iowa and No. 6 Tennessee making it this far.

Let’s take a look at the newest college basketball chances.

March Madness chances

How these odds have moved

Duke had the finest odds to win the NCAA Tournament heading into Round 1, but gamblers have soured somewhat on the banged-up Blue Devils, as Duke had to endure some close shaves to make it this far.

Arizona and Michigan have actually see-sawed for the top area in the March Madness winner chances, depending on who has actually advanced further initially.

Illinois made a huge dive from +1400 to +700 after punching their ticket to the Elite Eight with an upset win over Houston.

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March Madness favorites

Arizona (+250 )

The Wildcats sat atop the odds board and were undefeated before suffering back-to-back losses to No. 14 Kansas and No. 16 Texas Tech.

However, nine straight wins – consisting of running the table to win the Big 12 Tournament – have helped them reshape the narrative.

Arizona hasn’t made it past the Sweet Sixteen in more than a decade, and this lineup may be as well-positioned as any to overcome the bulge.

It looked like its competition remained in danger against Utah State, however the Wildcats eventually prevailed. They squashed Arkansas to reach the Elite 8, where they’ll face Purdue.

Duke (+270 )

The Blue Devils’ win over Michigan vaulted them to No. 1 in the most recent AP Top 25, and they have not looked back, earning an unsurprising No. 1 seed in the East Region.

Cameron Boozer is the player to view in Durham, emerging as among the most highly-touted potential customers for the upcoming NBA Draft. However, basketball is a team game, and heaven Devils were plainly missing out on the injured Patrick Ngongba II and Caleb Foster in a close shave vs. No. 16 Siena.

Their win over No. 9 TCU in Round 2 was a battle for thirty minutes, and No. 5 St. John’s took Duke to the wire in the Sweet 16.

Michigan (+290 )

Before their problem against Duke, Michigan’s only stumble was available in January versus Wisconsin, and Yaxel Lendeborg & Co. reacted by rattling off 11 consecutive wins en path to the No. 1 seed in the Midwest.

Michigan has scored a minimum of 90 points in each game so far in this competition.

2026 March Madness futures bets

The Michigan Wolverines are atop nearly every score system. Considering their size, experience, depth, and a 5-0 record against ranked challengers, I’m backing them to win the title with my forecasts for March Madness.

With a healthy Darryn Peterson, the Kansas Jayhawks have actually appeared like a title competitor, and getting them at almost 4:1 to make the Final Four would be a steal if he’s at full strength by tourney time.

Sometimes, futures bets go like this. USC was 18-6 when this initial “make the competition” wager was put. however the Trojans went on to lose their last 8 video games of the season in an epic late-year disaster.

Among Arizona, Duke, and Michigan, the Wildcats have the simpler path to the Final Four. Arizona is at full strength, and its freshman appear to be hitting their stride. The Wildcats will power through the West Region, where every other top group has major defects.

Unlike previous variations of Iowa State, this team rebounds at a high level and has the grit to win games when the shots aren’t falling. The three most difficult possible opponents on the roadway to the Elite Eight are Kentucky, Tennessee, and Virginia, and the Cyclones are ranked substantially greater than all of them.

March Madness odds over time

March Madness wagering splits

Highest ticket portion:
• Michigan 11.4%.
• Duke 10.0%.
• Arizona 8.7%

Highest deal with portion:.
• Arizona 14.4%.
• Michigan 14.0%.
• Florida 10.6%

Bettors have actually been banking huge all season on the Wolverines, who have the highest ticket percentage and deal with portion in the country.

Michigan spent all 19 weeks in the AP Top 25, beginning at No. 7 in the preseason and climbing up to No. 1 in mid-February.

March Madness 2026 schedule

March Madness picks.
Women’s March Madness odds.
March Madness Final Four chances.
March Madness MVP chances.
March Madness betting websites.
March Madness wagering promotions

2026 March Madness opening chances

– Houston +900.
– Duke +1000.
– UConn +1400.
– Louisville +1700.
– Auburn +1800.
– Florida +1900.
– Purdue +1900.
– Kansas +2000.
– Kentucky +2000.
– Arkansas +2000.
– BYU +2000.
– Alabama +2000.
– Michigan +2500.
– Texas Tech +2500.
– St. John’s +2500.
– Gonzaga +3000.
– Michigan State +3000.
– Iowa State +3000.
– Arizona +4000.
– UCLA +4000.
– North Carolina +4000.
– Illinois +6000.
– Vanderbilt +15000.
– Iowa +15000.
– Nebraska +20000

Bookmakers had high wish for Louisville entering the 2025-26 season, however the Cardinals have actually largely underperformed to the tune of a disappointing 3-6 record against Top 25 teams. Their failure to hang with the best programs in the country does not bode well for their chances of playing in April.

Past March Madness winners

( Opening odds courtesy Sports Odds History)

March Madness trends

• Of the 20 groups that have gotten in the competition with unbeaten records, just seven have gone on to win the nationwide championship.

• Only 13 groups successfully safeguarded their nationwide championship the following season.

• UCLA has the many NCAA titles of all time (11 ), although the Bruins have actually not won the competition because 1995.

• A No. 1-seeded team has actually won the national championship 59.6% of the time considering that regional seeding was presented in 1979.

Embrace the insanity

Visit our finest March Madness betting websites today to bet on this year’s males’s basketball competition. You’re extremely own “One Shining Moment” opportunity waits for!

March Madness Title Odds FAQs

Arizona (+240 ), Michigan (+350 ), and Duke (+375) are the existing March Madness favorites.

The Florida Gators won March Madness in 2025, beating Houston 65-63 in the national championship.

The Devils are currently noted at +375 to win the natty.

Calculating March Madness chances includes evaluating the possibility of different results in the tournament. Oddsmakers use numerous elements including group efficiency, gamer health, head-to-head matchups, competition experience, coaching, place, and advanced data. Bookmakers use these aspects to set initial chances, and as bets are placed, odds may shift based on the money wagered on each side.

The only other school to win three-straight championship games is UCLA, who actually won 7 straight titles from 1967-1973.

You can discover spreads for every single 2026 March Madness video game by visiting our Covers NCAAB Scores & Matchup page. You’ll discover complete betting lines, line movement information, agreement picks and far more.

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, integrated with a journalism degree, it’s little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He concentrates on wagering on UFC and college basketball, 2 sports where the eyeball test can inform you a lot more about matches than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games in addition to niche wagering markets such as politics. He’s likewise the resident CFL specialist and previously hosted “The Chez and Ro Show” with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.